Prediction of Finn Willman vs Preston Brown at M15 Tauranga 16 Dec 2025

• How do Finn Willman and Preston Brown compare in recent second serve performance? Willman has secured 48.28% of second serve points, outperforming Brown, who achieved only 42.91%.
• In return game stats for recent matches, Brown outperformed Willman by winning 42.22% of opponent's second serve points, compared to Willman's 35.37%.
• Looking at first serve return stats, Brown again surpasses Willman, with Brown winning 26.99% and Willman 21.82%.
• When facing breakpoints, Willman has been more effective, saving 66.67% of them compared to Brown's 50.30%.
• In terms of match performance over the past year, Willman has a 46.15% win rate, which is significantly higher than Brown’s 15.79%.
• On match surfaces, both players excel most on hard courts, with Willman and Brown achieving their top career win rates there.
• What level tournaments have each played? Willman has had a stronger record in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments at 46.15%, compared to Brown’s 18.18%.
• Each player has faced varying levels of competition. Willman has played against opponents with an average rank of 38.23, while Brown has faced higher-ranked opponents averaging 25.05.
• Deciding set performance shows Brown has the advantage, winning 33% compared to Willman’s 0% in the past year.
• From a breakpoint conversion standpoint, Brown is superior, capitalizing on 32.94% of opportunities versus Willman’s 27.27%.

Editorial Prediction (December 15, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing second serve performance, Finn Willman demonstrates a distinct advantage, securing a higher percentage of points compared to Preston Brown. This proficiency gives Willman a favorable starting point in rallies on his serve, which could be a pivotal factor in this matchup.

Despite Brown’s superiority in return stats, particularly in first and second serve points against opponents, Willman’s strength in converting and defending breakpoints cannot be overlooked.

While both players perform similarly on hard courts, Willman's higher match win percentage over the past year suggests better form heading into this competition. However, Brown has an edge in deciding sets, making him a tougher opponent if the match becomes closely contested.

In summarizing these findings, Finn Willman’s higher win percentage and dominance in crucial serve metrics position him as the likely winner for this upcoming encounter.